TA: Bitcoin Trades Below 100 SMA, Why BTC Could Face Short-term Dips

Bitcoin price failed to continue higher above $18,800 and corrected lower against the US Dollar. BTC is now trading below the 100 hourly SMA and showing a few bearish signs.

  • Bitcoin is facing a strong resistance near the $18,700 and $18,800 levels.
  • The price is now trading below $18,500 and the 100 hourly simple moving average.
  • There is a short-term ascending channel forming with support near $18,150 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).
  • The pair could correct sharply below $18,150 and $18,000 levels in the near term.

Bitcoin Price is Struggling Below $18.8K

There were a couple of swing moves in bitcoin price (unlike Ethereum and ripple) below the $18,200 and $18,000 levels. BTC traded close to the $17,500 support area before there was a fresh increase.

However, the price struggled to gain momentum and it seems to be facing a strong resistance near the $18,700 and $18,800 levels. The last swing high was near $18,700 before the price dived below $18,200. It traded as low as $17,991 and settled below the 100 hourly simple moving average.

Bitcoin is currently correcting higher and trading above $18,100. There was a break above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $18,703 high to $17,991 low.

Bitcoin Price

Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

An immediate resistance is near the $18,350 level and the 100 hourly simple moving average. It is close to the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $18,703 high to $17,991 low. Moreover, there is a short-term ascending channel forming with support near $18,150 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair.

If there is a downside break below the channel support, there is a risk of more losses below the $18,000 support level. The next major support on the downside is near the $17,500 and $17,350 levels.

Fresh Increase in BTC?

If bitcoin stays above the channel support or $18,000, it could attempt another increase above the 100 hourly SMA. The first major resistance is near the $18,500 level.

The main hurdle for the bulls is forming near the $18,800 level. A successful break above the $18,800 zone is must to start a fresh rally. The next major resistance above $18,800 could be $19,500.

Technical indicators:

Hourly MACD – The MACD is slowly gaining momentum in the bearish zone.

Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is currently correcting higher towards the 50 level.

Major Support Levels – $18,150, followed by $18,000.

Major Resistance Levels – $18,350, $18,500 and $18,800.